Image: RWWA
Alaskan God is one of the main contenders in the Northerly Stakes
The final Group I for the calendar year takes place this Saturday at Ascot, with Cascadian and Amelia’s Jewel clashing in the Northerly Stakes (1800m).
Below is a speed map, runner preview and $100 betting strategy for the 2022 Northern Stakes.
*Existing customers only. 2nd racing bet. Excl SA & WA. T & C’s apply. Play responsibly.
Market 💰: See the odds for Nordic stakes
Northerly Stakes 2022 Speed Map
Bad Wolf should be able to use the inside gate to advantage and be handy. The lightweight Bustler I think will be handy, while the Search Rocs should slide forward provided they jump well. Amelia’s Jewel will try to hold a decent place from gate 1, while Cascadian could be close to last in the race.
2022 Northerly Stakes Runner Preview:
1. Cascadian: The class will take the Cascadian a long, long way. He has boards in them in class and was very good last time out in the Champions Stakes at Flemington. The two questions I have are the map with a wide gate being awful for him and the fact that he has been working for a long time. Surely there must be a tipping point.
2. Dome To Shoot: D Oliver Peach won the race last Saturday but this was a much weaker race compared to this one. He deserves to be a close-ranked outsider.
3. The Bad Wolf: Back on the road is a positive for him…that’s the only positive I can find for him. He doesn’t have the class/quality to present. Maps ok but it should produce something right out of the box and I doubt it will.
4. Startrade: He ran a blinder in the Railway, producing the best late splits of the race to run third in the Trix Of The Trade. He found the right things to make it happen. I doubt it will happen here.
5. Captain Kaos: He had an easy race in transit on the rail and was solid late on without threatening. 1600m sees him straight away IMO, so at 1800m here, he has zero chance.
6. God chose: God’s Chosen is my Perth Cup horse. He just showed very hard all the preparation and to my eye he wanted further. No turn of foot in the rail, but he liked the way he found the line for a horse that wanted more ground. Doubt it wins, but a must for multiples.
7. Ironclad: Proven performer at 2000m but his best form in Australia was at 1600m or below. Simple course on the rail and while he gets a big jockey upgrade, I don’t see him delivering in the end.
8. Last in line: SCR
9. Notorious: Wide forum without coverage in the Railway so forgive and forget it went around. That said, previous runs suggested it wasn’t going well enough, so he was happy to let it pass to the keeper.
10. Trix Of The Trade: The gear shift was electric and that, with the help of a 12/10 trip, saw it storm the rail. He won his Group I and was very good at weight… not the case here at the WFA and is very poorly drawn. so I’m happy to risk it.
11. Alaskan God: From what I see/read, nothing was found from the vet after Calea Ferata. I was hoping something would be found to explain the horrible race. He had every chance and was horribly late. No chance of winning this effort, but if you’re a forgiving guy, he has a Railroad SP profile.
12. Steinem: This reminds me of Paulele. He’s not good enough to win a Group I at home, so he has to go on the road to find it. She was ready to race, the test was strong, she maps ideally… the best can see her win, but it was expensive.
13. Search in Rocs: 1800m at this level is the question with her. She held onto the rail a bit, but I still thought she had her chance to finish the race better. Potentially gets a soft run at speed with a clean jump, but I can’t entertain her.
14. Precious Star: The rail course was a bit flattering, I thought she struggled from behind, held up and came out late to wild the line. Visually, she was very good, but I thought she was being flattered. 1800m and WFA are the two strokes.
15. Busters: It deserves a crack. I like the filly in this race and he was only caught late, so if this is the right form then Bustler has to be respected. Stable has a great record in the race, could get a nice run in transit…needs to improve a bit but there’s no reason why he can’t.
16. Amelia’s Jewel: It will be fascinating to see if gate 1 is a blessing or a nightmare for Amelia’s Jewel. If it is a blessing, I think it will be too bright for them. I liked the way she tried to win the WA Guineas two weeks ago and that has been the target for all her training. If she can get fresh air at the right time, she is clearly the one to beat.
2022 Northerly Stakes $100 Betting Strategy:
Keeping it simple. I support the Rothfire class and happy to get $5, $100 win.
Group Strategic Spending l: $3,050
Group l strategy return: $1613.50
*Existing customers only. 2nd racing bet. Excl SA & WA. T & C’s apply. Play responsibly.